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September 4th, 2015
CORN and SOYBEAN Weather
- No change on pattern through weekend. Warm, humid with pop up thunderstorms.
- Moisture next week looks more interesting for southern and eastern parts of the Corn Belt. Front moves through north and west areas on time Sunday through Monday. Front may stall in southern Indiana, southern MO and OH Tuesday night. This may allow more rain to move up the front for MO and OH valleys, up across IN and OH as well.
- Rain totals .25”-1” for western and NW parts of the Corn Belt to start next week. Rains can total 2-3 inches in southern and far eastern parts of the Corn Belt.
- Rain coverage from Sunday through Thursday will be almost 90% of the Corn Belt. Better chances of getting missed in central and western belt than farther east.
- If rains last longer in eastern Corn Belt, next front for 11th-12th likely does nothing but shift winds around.
- Models arguing over extended period pattern. Return to ridge in west trough in east pattern should increase some precipitation action in the extended period. But, for now most models are dry for corn and bean areas from 13th through 20th. Temps normal to below normal. GFS is the coldest and digs the deepest trough.
- Moderate to heavy rains start today in the Canadian prairies. Rains continue through Tuesday and will come in 2 waves. We are keeping rain totals at 1-3 inches with coverage at 90%.
- Scattered thunderstorms likely in HRW areas into the weekend until we get air mass change. That may not come until late Sunday or Monday with an approaching cold front. Rain totals can be up to 1 inch in areas that get rain…but coverage will likely be only 30-40% of total HRW belt.
- Next week, 3 minor waves move through HRW areas, each capable of triggering showers and thunderstorms with 40% coverage. Rains will not be spectacular, but we can’t say its dry all week next week ether.
- Temps next week return to near normal, but will go above normal again the week after next with the reforming of an upper level ridge.
Last 10 days of September will be dry in the plainsFiled under Weather | Comment (0)