July 28, 2014

Early Morning Weather Headlines

July 28th, 2014

Corn Belt

Over the weekend our front moved through as anticipated. Rain totals were mostly in our range of .25-1”, although we have heard a few complaints of “I didn’t get anything” in the past 24 hours. High pressure sits over the northern plains this morning and over the next few days it will move east southeast across the Corn Belt. Temps will be cool…much like early September temperatures, through the rest of the week. With no temperature problem, the focus will return to “when do we get our next rain?”  Honestly, it may be a while before a nice, general frontal driven rain hits the Corn Belt again. With the cool air trough firmly entrenched over the region through this week and next we see very few synoptic level features moving through. What models do hint at is a slight increase in atmospheric moisture later this week, and then again toward midweek nest week that may result in a few spotty showers, mainly just due to persistent cool air. These spotty showers will yield no more than a few tenths of an inch, and coverage will be well under 20% geographically…so it’s nothing to really count on as much as it is a shot of “bonus” moisture in a few places. The next good rain will be coming with a front that pushes into the western corn belt around the 8th and then travels east through the 10th. That front will bring half to 2 inch rains to the Corn Belt with 80% coverage. We then see another front for the 13th-15th that adds another half to 1.5”.  {see more}…

Plains – The extreme heat has broken over the plains, and temps the next few days will be closer to normal. While the cool air dives south this week in areas east of the plains, it never really takes good hold in the plains area itself. This will set up a nice area of precipitation along the rim of the cool air and the subsequent high pressure domes that move into the Corn Belt. We are seeing some of that already this morning on the surface map with a nice line of showers and thunderstorms running from southern OK back up through the northern TX panhandle and into southeast CO. Look for this pattern to amplify between now and midweek with thunderstorms likely across areas from eastern CO through south central KS through OK and north TX. Rain totals for that area through Thursday will be in the half to 2 inch plus range, with coverage at 60% of the aforementioned area. Outside of those areas, it looks to be mostly dry with normal temps…

 

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    Allendale Advisory Contributor:

    Ryan Martin

    Ryan Martin

    Ryan graduated from Purdue University with a degree in Applied Agricultural Meteorology. Ryan has worked in the private weather sector for 18 years and is also a registered broker/branch manager for Allendale. Click on the picture above for more on Ryan and his contact info.

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